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06/07/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Preakness Stakes winner Lookin At Lucky came out in first again in the final NTRA Thoroughbred Three-Year-Old Poll of 2010. The colt was followed by Kentucky Derby champ Super Saver and Belmont Stakes winner Drosselmeyer.
Lookin At Lucky garnered 17 first-place votes and 197 points in the final balloting. That's an increase of one first-place vote and 10 points over last week's tally.
Super Saver, who along with Lookin At Lucky did not run in the Belmont, finished second with a single first-place vote and 159 points. The colt lost a first-place vote from last week.
Drosselmeyer had not received any points in the next-to-last poll, but finished third in the final one with 154 points. The Travers Stakes is on his schedule for the summer.
"We'd like to think, come Saratoga time, at the end of the meet, they run the Travers, and that maybe he'd have an opportunity to run in there," said Drosselmeyer's trainer Bill Mott. "That's what I'm hoping."
Preakness runner-up First Dude, third in the Belmont, moved up one to fourth in the poll with 119 points.
Belmont runner-up Fly Down jumped from 11th with 23 points to fifth with 93. Fly Down had defeated Drosselmeyer in the Dwyer Stakes last month.
Holding steady at sixth is the retired Eskendereya with one first-place vote and 71 points.
Filly Blind Luck came in second in Saturday's Hollywood Oaks and fell from fourth to seventh. She picked up one first-place vote and 64 points.
Ice Box, second in the Run for the Roses, finished eighth in the Belmont Stakes as the 9-5 favorite and dropped from third to eighth in the poll. He finished with 57 points.
Wood Memorial runner-up Jackson Bend is ninth with 51 points and Santa Anita Derby champ Sidney's Candy completes the top 10 with 28 points.
There were no significant changes in the NTRA Thoroughbred Poll, which continues through the Breeders' Cup in November.
Zenyatta, who will start in Sunday's Vanity Handicap, is the top vote-getter with 13 first-place votes and 184 points. Her lead has been reduced to two with Met Mile winner Quality Road receiving seven first-place votes and 182 points.
Lookin At Lucky is third with 123 points followed by Rachel Alexandra (75), Misremembered (71), Super Saver (59), Blame (54), Blind Luck (48), Unrivaled Belle (36) and Tuscan Evening (32).
<< Rose moves to 33rd in world rankings
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Justin Rose earned his long-awaited first
PGA Tour win on Sunday at the Memorial Tournament and jumped from 66th to 33rd
in this week's world golf rankings.
Graeme McDowell collected his fifth European T
<< Parker soars in world rankings after first LET win
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - England's Florentyna Parker claimed her
first Ladies European Tour title on Sunday and soared 93 places to No. 139 in
the world rankings for women's golf.
Meanwhile, Yoshimi Kohda also earned her fi
<< Real Madrid locks up Higuain
Madrid, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Argentina striker Gonzalo Higuain has ended
uncertainty about his future at Real Madrid by signing a new six-year
contract.
The 22-year-old South American has been heavily linked with a move to En
<< Vorsah extends Hoffenheim deal
Sinsheim, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hoffenheim defender Isaac Vorsah has
ended speculation over his career by penning a new three-year contract with
the Bundesliga side.
Vorsah, who is expected to feature heavily for Ghana in thi
Brewers part ways with veteran P Suppan >>
Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Milwaukee Brewers released veteran right-
handed pitcher Jeff Suppan on Monday.
The 35-year-old came to Milwaukee via free agency in December 2006 after
spending the previous three seasons with St.
Shea claims first Player of the Week award >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FC Dallas midfielder Brek Shea was voted Major
League Soccer Player of the Week for week 11 of the 2010 MLS season.
Shea scored two goals for FC Dallas in the span of two minutes during their
2-0 victory
Montgomerie fires 62 to qualify for British Open >>
Berkshire, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - European Ryder Cup captain Colin
Montgomerie fired an eight-under 62 on Monday to qualify for his 21st
consecutive British Open.
Montgomerie matched the 18-hole scoring record on Sunn
Three races, three horses claim victories >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 2010 Triple Crown series provided
little intrigue over the five weeks. No 'super horse' stepped forward for the
races after the elimination of the injured Eskendereya.
Lookin At Lucky, 2009 ch
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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
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